System Engineering and Productivity

System Engineering and Productivity

Investigating the Effects of Noise on the Portfolio Optimization Problem

Document Type : Research Paper

Author
Assistant Professor, Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Basic Sciences, University of Qom, Qom, Iran
Abstract
Portfolio optimization is a practical application problem. The task of this problem is to allocate capital to a set of assets and its goal is to maximize investment returns while minimizing the probability of loss (risk). This makes portfolio optimization a multi-objective optimization problem. It is also a noisy problem, but noise is ignored in most research. In classical portfolio optimization, an efficient optimal portfolio is created using past stock dividends. Inevitably, the expected return from the portfolio is subject to uncertainty and noise. Naturally, we have no knowledge of future stock dividends and invest only based on our estimates and expectations of future stock performance, which itself contains a high level of noise. In this research, the Markovitch mean-variance model is used to investigate the effects of noise on the return from the optimal stock portfolio. In this article, we will show that investment decisions can be significantly wrong if noise is ignored. Although the results in this article are negative, the results have significant benefits for investors. When dividends are subject to noise and turbulence, investors should be very cautious about their portfolio selection and investment strategy.
Keywords

Copyright ©, Hamid Reza Jalalian

 

License

This article is released under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) license. Anyone is free to copy, share, translate, and adapt this article for any purpose, whether commercial or non-commercial, as long as proper citation is given to the authors and original publication.

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Volume 2, Issue 2 - Serial Number 3
Serial No. 3, Summer Quarterly
Summer 2022
Pages 73-84

  • Receive Date 19 June 2022
  • Revise Date 19 July 2022
  • Accept Date 23 July 2022
  • First Publish Date 23 July 2022
  • Publish Date 23 August 2022