System Engineering and Productivity

System Engineering and Productivity

Presenting a Dynamic Model of Iran's Electrical Energy Supply System Based on the Water-Food-Energy-Climate Change Nexus

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors
Sona Razzaghy 1
Ali Mohammad Ahmadvand 2
Marzieh Samadi Foroushani 3
1 Corresponding author: Ph.D., Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Industrial Engineering, University of Eyvanekey, Eyvanekey, Iran
2 Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Industrial Engineering, University of Eyvanekey, Eyvanekey, Iran
3 Assistant Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Industrial Engineering, University of Eyvanekey, Eyvanekey, Iran
10.22034/msb.2024.2022934.1183
Abstract
The supply of electrical energy is of great importance since energy consumption and production are affected and influential on the process of climate change. The water, energy-food nexus can also be a guideline for policy-making for the country's future sustainable development. The main goal of the research is to present a model of electrical energy supply based on the water-food-energy-climate change nexus. The methodology of the research is based on the stages of the system dynamics approach to modeling, and the model is implemented by software to describe events and consequences. The research data is collected based on organizational documents, including the Ministry of Energy, the Ministry of Agricultural Jihad, the Statistical Center of Iran, the National Meteorological Organization, and the Iranian Water Resources Management Organization. The model is designed based on data from (1390-1400) in the Vanisim software and simulated in the horizon (1430-1400). Based on the implementation of the selected policy combination in the model, the following solutions will lead to ensuring electrical energy security based on the water-food-energy-climate change nexus: 16% expansion of nuclear power plants, 18% reduction in the ratio of gas power plants to total non-renewable power plant production, and increasing combined cycle power plant production by converting gas to combined cycle, energy integration and development of heat recovery systems in industrial units by 32%, 5% reduction in energy transmission and distribution losses, reduction in per capita energy consumption and reaching the global average, water demand management in the food sector by increasing irrigation efficiency by about 85%, 27% increase in the area of ​​land under irrigation, and reduction in food losses by a global average of 0.9 million tons.
Keywords
Water-Food-Energy Link
Electrical Energy
Climate Change
System Dynamics
Subjects

Copyright ©, Sona Razzaghy, Ali Mohammad Ahmadvand, Marzieh Samadi Foroushani

 

License

This article is released under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) license. Anyone is free to copy, share, translate, and adapt this article for any purpose, whether commercial or non-commercial, as long as proper citation is given to the authors and original publication.

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System Engineering and Productivity
Volume 3, Issue 4 - Serial Number 9
Serial No. 9, Winter Quarterly
Winter 2024
Pages 36-80

  • Receive Date 13 February 2023
  • Revise Date 06 October 2023
  • Accept Date 18 February 2024
  • First Publish Date 15 March 2024
  • Publish Date 15 March 2024