مهندسی سیستم و بهره‌وری

مهندسی سیستم و بهره‌وری

مدل تصمیم‌گیری فازی ترکیبی برای مدیریت ریسک و ارتقای تاب‌آوری زنجیره تأمین محصولات گوشتی و پروتئینی (یک مطالعه موردی)

مقالات آماده انتشار

نوع مقاله : پژوهشی

نویسندگان
مهناز زارعی
امیر ایمان فر
گروه مهندسی صنایع، واحد شیراز، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، شیراز، ایران
10.22034/sep.2026.2097353.1540
چکیده
تاب‌آوری زنجیره تأمین کشاورزی–غذایی به‌دلیل مواجهه با ریسک‌های متعدد و اختلالات پیش‌بینی‌نشده اهمیت ویژه‌ای دارد. پژوهش حاضر با هدف ارائه مدل تصمیم‌گیری فازی ترکیبی برای شناسایی و ارزیابی ریسک‌ها و اولویت‌بندی راهبردهای بهبود تاب‌آوری انجام شد. این پژوهش از نظر هدف کاربردی و از نظر ماهیت توصیفی–پیمایشی است. داده‌های پژوهش از دیدگاه پنج خبره و مدیر آشنا با بخش محصولات گوشتی و پروتئینی که به روش نمونه‌گیری گلوله‌برفی انتخاب شدند، گردآوری شد. ابتدا ریسک‌ها و راهبردهای تاب‌آوری از طریق مرور ادبیات استخراج و با روش دلفی فازی غربالگری شدند. سپس، برای وزن‌دهی ریسک‌ها از OPA-F و برای اولویت‌بندی راهبردها از FQFD استفاده شد. نتایج نشان داد ریسک‌های زیرساختی و لجستیکی با وزن 3849/0 مهم‌ترین بعد ریسک و نبود یا کمبود توسعه فناوری با وزن 2012/0 مهم‌ترین ریسک فرعی است. همچنین، سرمایه‌گذاری در زیرساخت‌ها، پذیرش و توسعه فناوری و استانداردسازی فرآیندها به ‌ترتیب مهم‌ترین راهبردهای بهبود تاب‌آوری شناخته شدند. یافته‌ها نشان می‌دهند مدل پیشنهادی می‌تواند مدیران را در شناسایی ریسک‌های بحرانی، تخصیص هدفمند منابع، اولویت‌بندی اقدامات اصلاحی و تقویت آمادگی، پاسخگویی و بازیابی زنجیره تأمین در برابر اختلالات احتمالی به‌طور مؤثر یاری کند.

تازه های تحقیق

  • توسعه مدل OPA-F-FQFD برای مدیریت ریسک و بهبود تاب‌آوری
  • ریسک‌های زیرساختی و لجستیکی مهم‌ترین بعد شناخته شدند.
  • سرمایه‌گذاری در زیرساخت‌ها مهم‌ترین راهبرد ارتقای تاب‌آوری زنجیره تأمین نتیجه شد.

کلیدواژه‌ها
زنجیره تأمین کشاورزی–غذایی
محصولات گوشتی و پروتئینی
مدیریت ریسک
تاب‌آوری
روش اولویت ترتیبی فازی
رویکرد گسترش عملکرد کیفیت فازی
موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

A Hybrid Fuzzy Decision-Making Model for Risk Management and Resilience Enhancement in Meat and Protein-Product Supply Chains (A Case Study)

نویسندگان English

Mahnaz Zarei
Amir Imanfar
Department of Industrial Engineering, Shi.C., Islamic Azad University, Shiraz, Iran
چکیده English

Supply chain resilience in agri-food industries is of particular importance due to exposure to multiple risks and unforeseen disruptions. This study aims to develop a hybrid fuzzy decision-making model for identifying and assessing the importance of risks and formulating strategies to improve resilience in agri-food supply chains. The research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-survey in nature. The study data were collected from five experts and managers familiar with the meat and protein-products sector, who were selected through snowball sampling. First, influential risks and resilience strategies were extracted through a literature review and then evaluated and screened using the Fuzzy Delphi Method (FDM). Subsequently, the Fuzzy Ordinal Priority Approach (OPA-F) was employed to determine the importance and assign weights to risks, while the Fuzzy Quality Function Deployment (FQFD) approach was applied to identify appropriate resilience improvement strategies. The OPA-F results indicated that infrastructure and logistics risks, with a weight of 0.3849, constituted the most important risk dimension in the supply chain under study. Moreover, “insufficient technology development,” with a weight of 0.2012, was identified as the most critical sub-risk. The FQFD results revealed that "investment in infrastructure," "technology adoption and development," and "process standardization" are the most important strategies for improving resilience, respectively. The findings demonstrate that the application of hybrid fuzzy decision-making models can assist agri-food industry managers in identifying critical risks, prioritizing corrective actions, and enhancing supply chain resilience.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Agri-food supply chain
Meat and protein products
Risk management
Resilience
Fuzzy Ordinal Priority Approach
Fuzzy Quality Function Deployment

Copyright © Mahnzaz Zarei, Amir Imanfar

 

License

This article is released under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) license. Anyone is free to copy, share, translate, and adapt this article for any purpose, whether commercial or non-commercial, as long as proper citation is given to the authors and original publication.

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مهندسی سیستم و بهره‌وری

مقالات آماده انتشار، پذیرفته شده
انتشار آنلاین از 08 مهر 1405

  • تاریخ دریافت 24 مرداد 1405
  • تاریخ بازنگری 02 مهر 1405
  • تاریخ پذیرش 08 مهر 1405
  • تاریخ اولین انتشار 08 مهر 1405
  • تاریخ انتشار 08 مهر 1405